Snow warning issued by Met Office for the East Midlands - here's the outlook for Lincolnshire

News: Experts predict Beast from the East return – but how reliable are long term forecasts?

Another Lincolnshire Highlights news story…

Weather experts are predicting that the Beast of the East could return and bring with it the coldest winter in 30 years.

Lincolnshire was badly affected by the storm back in March last year, with mutliple roads closed by police and heavy snowfall across the county.

Now, forecasters are predicting that the UK is set for a bitterly cold winter with temperatures plummeting to well below freezing, Birmingham Live reports.

But just how accurate are long term forecasts?

 

Long range weather predictions are made by analysing current sea temperatures and weather systems over the north Atlantic, researchers at Unviersity College London (UCL) told the Sunday Times.

This means that weather can be predicted as far ahead as four months time.

They believe that freezing Arctic air is set to descend on the UK in the first months of next year. 

This is because the Gulf stream will sidestep Britain, leaving us without the rise in temperature it normally brings to the British Isles from the Atlantic and Caribbean sea.

The UCL team, led by Professor Mark Saunders, told the newspaper: “This would rank the 2020 January-February central England temperature as the coldest winter since 2013.

 

“And January-February 2020 as the seventh coldest winter in the past 30 years.”

Snow is on its way… apparently
(Image: Lincolnshire Echo)

However the predictions, which attempt one of the longest-range forecasts in history, are not set in stone.

Scientists say there’s a “57 per cent chance the central England temperature will be colder than in 2018”.

So, while experts are basing their prediction on data, this won’t be as accurate as the weather forecast for the next seven days, for example.

 

Forecasters are expecting the Midlands to bask in an Indian summer this weekend, with temperatures set to soar to around 26C – making the region hotter than Hawaii.

You can read more about this forecast here.



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